Chievo vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 3
CHI
24%
28%
48%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 0
GRO
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 3
CHI
22%
28%
50%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 3
MAN
65%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
RAV
53%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
PIA
0 - 0
CES
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CES
4 - 1
TRE
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
AVE
3 - 1
CES
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CES
3 - 0
FRO
38%
26%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |