Chieri vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 1
CHI
22%
21%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BOR
0 - 5
CHI
25%
24%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
FOS
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 1
CHI
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
FOL
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
FOL
37%
28%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOS
2 - 2
CAS
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
DER
57%
25%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |