Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
COC
2 - 0
CFS
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 1
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 0
IMI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
DCU
1 - 0
CFS
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 2
PHU
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CIN
0 - 2
COR
19%
25%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CIN
0 - 1
NER
14%
21%
66%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
CIN
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CIN
2 - 3
IMI
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ORL
3 - 0
CIN
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |