Chiasso vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
SIO
0 - 3
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
STG
2 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
CHI
2 - 2
SER
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
CHI
2 - 1
BAS
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
ZUR
5 - 0
STG
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
CSC
3 - 0
ZUR
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZUR
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 1
NEX
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
SIO
0 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
45%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |