Chiasso vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
70.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 2
GCZ
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
5 - 2
CHI
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 2
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 1
CHI
19%
19%
62%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
THU
1 - 3
NEX
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WIL
3 - 1
THU
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
THU
2 - 2
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
44%
24%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
THU
1 - 5
KRI
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |