Chiasso vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
76.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
FCA
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NEX
2 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
KRI
2 - 0
CHI
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
SCH
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FCL
4 - 2
STG
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCL
2 - 2
YOB
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCL
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCL
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |