Chesterfield vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 0
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
SCU
2 - 2
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 1
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
COV
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 2
POS
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 4
SCU
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
SCU
2 - 2
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
SCU
2 - 1
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
SCU
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
SCU
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |