Chesterfield vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ROC
2 - 3
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 3
CUM
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 3
BOU
47%
24%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
5 - 2
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 0
BUR
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 1
DAR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
DAR
46%
28%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 0
DAR
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
DAR
2 - 1
STF
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |