Chester vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 3
CHE
35%
24%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 2
YOR
50%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 6
STO
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NUN
2 - 3
CHE
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHO
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOS
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 1
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUI
81%
13%
5%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |