Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Rotor Volgograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
1º
49
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 2
CHE
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAL
2 - 3
CHE
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 2
FOT
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
DMA
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ETK
1 - 2
CHE
5%
13%
83%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Rotor Volgograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
ROT
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ROT
5 - 1
LEG
73%
19%
9%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DMA
3 - 3
ROT
8%
18%
75%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 1
ALA
89%
9%
2%
|
56 | 16 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 5
ROT
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |