Chernomorets Novorossisk vs FK Rostov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
SAT
2 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 5
LOK
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 0
ALA
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FKM
0 - 0
CHE
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 1
CSK
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
LOK
0 - 0
FCR
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
ANZ
0 - 1
FCR
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 2
SAT
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 0
FKM
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
KRS
3 - 0
FCR
53%
26%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |