Chernolomets 1919 vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
6º
4º
22
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernolomets 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 5
CHE
8%
15%
78%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
SEP
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHE
7 - 0
DOR
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 0
CHE
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
UST
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SHU
3 - 2
BOT
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
SHU
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 0
DOR
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UST
4 - 1
SHU
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SHU
3 - 2
LOR
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |