Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1972 |
SSO
5 - 2
CVA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
CVA
4 - 1
SPA
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
CVA
2 - 1
LPL
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1972 |
SVA
1 - 2
CVA
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
CVA
4 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1972 |
DUN
1 - 0
TUN
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
LSO
3 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
DUN
1 - 3
LSO
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
DUN
1 - 0
SSO
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |