A PFG Round 11

Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa analysis

Cherno More Varna Botev Vratsa
73 ELO 74
-11.3% Tilt -13.9%
354º General ELO ranking 1634º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
51.1%
Cherno More Varna
26.6%
Draw
22.3%
Botev Vratsa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.3%
Win probability
Botev Vratsa
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cherno More Varna
-5%
+10%
Botev Vratsa

ELO progression

Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 1983
SSO
Slavia Sofia
1 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
65%
21%
14%
73 76 3 0
26 Oct. 1983
CVA
Cherno More Varna
3 - 0
Beroe
BER
50%
26%
24%
72 71 1 +1
15 Oct. 1983
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
52%
26%
22%
72 67 5 0
02 Oct. 1983
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 3
CSKA Sofia
CSK
41%
28%
31%
73 79 6 -1
24 Sep. 1983
ETA
Etar 1924
3 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
56%
25%
20%
73 71 2 0

Matches

Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1983
BVR
Botev Vratsa
2 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
57%
25%
18%
74 72 2 0
27 Oct. 1983
SSO
Slavia Sofia
3 - 1
Botev Vratsa
BVR
61%
23%
17%
74 75 1 0
15 Oct. 1983
BVR
Botev Vratsa
0 - 0
Belasitsa
BEL
55%
24%
21%
74 70 4 0
01 Oct. 1983
BER
Beroe
1 - 1
Botev Vratsa
BVR
54%
25%
21%
74 70 4 0
24 Sep. 1983
BVR
Botev Vratsa
3 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
48%
27%
25%
73 77 4 +1