Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VIH
0 - 2
CVA
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 0
OFK
54%
27%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
FKM
2 - 1
CVA
20%
25%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CVA
4 - 0
FKM
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2008 |
SSO
0 - 2
CVA
48%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
LSO
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CHB
2 - 1
BOT
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 2
LPL
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VIH
0 - 0
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
OFK
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |