Cheltenham Town Sub 18 vs Newport County Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FGR
1 - 2
CHT
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
CHT
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CHT
1 - 2
STO
53%
20%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CHT
4 - 4
AFB
12%
16%
71%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ECS
3 - 2
CHT
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
NWC
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ECS
4 - 1
NWC
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NWC
3 - 3
ECS
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FGR
0 - 3
NWC
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRR
3 - 1
NWC
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |