Cheltenham Town vs Arsenal Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 2
STE
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
OLD
2 - 0
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MKD
3 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
COV
0 - 3
ARS
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
SSV
5 - 0
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 1
AVI
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 1
BRO
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |