Chelsea vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
OXF
4 - 4
CHL
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
CHL
0 - 0
EVE
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
COV
3 - 3
CHL
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
NEW
3 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
0 - 1
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 2
COV
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |