Chelsea vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
CHL
3 - 1
EVE
65%
18%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 3
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
OPA
3 - 0
CHL
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
CHL
7 - 4
OPA
62%
19%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
CHL
2 - 4
TOT
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 2
BIR
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 3
NEW
73%
15%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
NTT
2 - 3
NEW
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 4
NTT
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |