Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TOT
0 - 1
CHL
29%
26%
46%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CHL
5 - 2
WOL
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
34%
25%
41%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CHL
2 - 1
FUL
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MID
2 - 0
BOL
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
EVE
1 - 1
MID
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MID
5 - 3
BIR
56%
25%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
MID
1 - 0
TOT
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |