Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
QPR
1 - 0
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
WOL
7 - 1
CHL
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
CHL
1 - 2
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
LIV
2 - 2
CHL
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
CHL
3 - 2
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
MID
2 - 0
EVE
39%
29%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
MID
3 - 0
TOT
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
BIR
1 - 0
MID
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
MID
2 - 0
STO
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1975 |
QPR
0 - 0
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |