Chelsea vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
MFF
0 - 1
CHL
13%
21%
66%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 3
CHL
13%
20%
67%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
SOU
74%
17%
10%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
7 - 0
NOR
73%
18%
9%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
4 - 0
MFF
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 1
BRE
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 1
TOT
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 2
BUR
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |