Chelsea vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FUL
0 - 2
CHL
20%
25%
56%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 3
CHL
14%
23%
63%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 1
HUL
80%
15%
6%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 2
MUD
45%
24%
31%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 1
EVE
78%
15%
7%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 2
BUR
25%
24%
52%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 0
EVE
28%
29%
44%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 0
MUD
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 97 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
STO
2 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 0
SHE
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |