Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TOT
0 - 0
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
MTA
0 - 4
CHL
18%
22%
59%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CHL
1 - 0
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STO
1 - 0
CHL
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 1
DYN
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
3 - 3
EVE
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 2
BOU
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 1
NEW
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
BOU
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOU
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |