National 3 Group C Round 14

Châteauroux II vs Chauvigny analysis

Châteauroux II Chauvigny
31 ELO 38
-9% Tilt 0.2%
8491º General ELO ranking 7645º
287º Country ELO ranking 254º
ELO win probability
36.2%
Châteauroux II
24.2%
Draw
39.6%
Chauvigny

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
Châteauroux II
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.6%
Win probability
Chauvigny
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Châteauroux II
+23%
-12%
Chauvigny

Points and table prediction

Châteauroux II
Their league position
Chauvigny
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
30
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stade Poitevin
62
62
100%
Montlouis
61
61
100%
Tours
49
49
100%
FCO Tourangeau
46
46
100%
Vierzon
37
37
100%
ES Bourges Moulon
37
37
100%
Panazol
36
36
0%
Chatellerault
36
36
0%
Châteauroux II
32
32
100%
Chauvigny
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
11º
29
29
11º
100%
Bourges Foot 18 II
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Vineuil SF
13º
23
23
13º
100%
Chambray FC
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Châteauroux II
Chauvigny
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Châteauroux II
Chauvigny
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Châteauroux II
Châteauroux II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
CHA
Chatellerault
3 - 2
Châteauroux II
CHA
44%
23%
34%
34 32 2 0
17 Dec. 2023
CHA
Châteauroux II
1 - 3
Stade Poitevin
POI
42%
25%
33%
35 37 2 -1
09 Dec. 2023
TOU
Tours
1 - 0
Châteauroux II
CHA
84%
11%
5%
35 52 17 0
03 Dec. 2023
CHA
Châteauroux II
2 - 1
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
CSL
56%
22%
22%
35 30 5 0
25 Nov. 2023
TOU
FCO Tourangeau
1 - 3
Châteauroux II
CHA
57%
21%
22%
33 38 5 +2

Matches

Chauvigny
Chauvigny
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
CHA
Chauvigny
1 - 1
Panazol
PAN
71%
16%
12%
37 23 14 0
09 Dec. 2023
CHA
Chatellerault
1 - 2
Chauvigny
CHA
34%
23%
42%
36 29 7 +1
02 Dec. 2023
CHA
Chauvigny
1 - 5
Stade Poitevin
POI
53%
24%
24%
37 35 2 -1
25 Nov. 2023
TOU
Tours
1 - 1
Chauvigny
CHA
84%
11%
5%
36 52 16 +1
11 Nov. 2023
CSL
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
0 - 1
Chauvigny
CHA
31%
24%
45%
36 30 6 0