Chasetown vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
CHA
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FRI
2 - 1
CHA
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
MIC
1 - 3
CHA
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
RET
0 - 4
CHA
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
UNM
4 - 1
FRI
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
UNM
1 - 0
NOR
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 2
UNM
29%
25%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 0
NOR
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
WHI
0 - 1
UNM
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |