Chapecoense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOA
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAX
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CRI
6 - 1
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 1
CRI
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CRI
1 - 1
BOA
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CRI
2 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 2
CRI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |