Chapecoense vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
0 - 1
CRI
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
CAX
5 - 1
CHA
74%
15%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 0
CHA
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
2 - 3
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CAL
2 - 0
CHA
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
1 - 1
DES
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
3 - 0
CRI
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CAX
0 - 0
BRA
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |