Change vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DIV
0 - 1
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 6
LOR
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SAI
0 - 1
CHA
66%
20%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUI
3 - 1
SAI
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
GUI
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DIV
2 - 0
GUI
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GUI
0 - 1
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ALE
0 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |