Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 0
DAL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TIA
2 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
SHA
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 2
CHA
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 4
GUA
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
TIT
0 - 3
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
5 - 0
CHO
73%
16%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 0
GUI
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
GAZ
2 - 3
GUA
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |