Chacaritas vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
LDU
1 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 2
CHA
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
4 - 1
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
INJ
2 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
INJ
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
25%
30%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 4
AME
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
PQU
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |