Villanovense vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
EXT
1 - 1
VIL
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ARC
3 - 2
VIL
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BET
4 - 1
VIL
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 2
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALG
0 - 2
VIL
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAD
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
4 - 1
ROD
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
MUR
14%
24%
63%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 0
FUE
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |