CF Villanovense vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 3
MEL
25%
29%
46%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
JER
3 - 1
VIL
54%
25%
20%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 1
MER
34%
28%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CDB
2 - 2
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 3
LAN
26%
29%
46%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 1
RJA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RJA
2 - 0
CPC
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PPJ
2 - 1
RJA
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
COR
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
SEV
2 - 0
RJA
44%
29%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |