Villanovense vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
MON
55%
26%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CPC
0 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CCF
13%
24%
63%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SRQ
2 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
ANT
52%
27%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
CPC
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CCF
3 - 0
MAD
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
SRQ
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ANT
0 - 2
MAD
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
CDM
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |