Moraira vs Ath. La Vall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 4
MOR
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 4
GAN
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
DAI
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
TMO
31%
21%
48%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CFB
2 - 2
MOR
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ath. La Vall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ATH
5 - 3
VER
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FON
0 - 1
ATH
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALM
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 7
ATH
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 1
GAN
55%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |