Estrela da Amadora vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
ESA
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
ESA
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 1
VIL
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
ESA
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
FEI
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 0
PEN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
LEX
0 - 1
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
FAR
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |