CF Benfica vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 0
CFB
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 2
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
CFB
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 5
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 2
CFB
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 0
UDL
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
UDL
2 - 0
RIB
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
UDL
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
LOU
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
UDL
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |