Cesarense vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
CES
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
EST
28%
27%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GON
1 - 0
CES
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CES
0 - 1
SAL
11%
25%
65%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
1 - 3
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 1
BEN
24%
28%
49%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
CIN
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 1
GON
53%
26%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TMO
0 - 3
CIN
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |