Copa Mercosur Group A Round 1

Cerro Porteño vs Vasco da Gama analysis

Cerro Porteño Vasco da Gama
80 ELO 87
-6.6% Tilt -5.6%
863º General ELO ranking 149º
Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
32%
Cerro Porteño
26.7%
Draw
41.4%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
Cerro Porteño
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.3%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cerro Porteño
+13%
-14%
Vasco da Gama

ELO progression

Cerro Porteño
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2001
CCP
Cerro Porteño
1 - 0
CA Colegiales
CAC
76%
16%
8%
80 67 13 0
10 Aug. 2001
SPO
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
26%
26%
49%
80 67 13 0
07 Aug. 2001
CCP
Cerro Porteño
2 - 0
U. Católica
UCO
59%
22%
19%
80 76 4 0
05 Aug. 2001
LIB
Libertad
1 - 1
Cerro Porteño
CCP
48%
24%
29%
80 76 4 0
01 Aug. 2001
BOC
Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Cerro Porteño
CCP
66%
20%
15%
80 85 5 0

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2001
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Santa Cruz
SAN
82%
13%
6%
87 69 18 0
15 Aug. 2001
VIT
Vitória
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
40%
25%
35%
87 81 6 0
11 Aug. 2001
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
74%
16%
10%
87 78 9 0
08 Aug. 2001
COT
Coritiba
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
30%
26%
44%
87 80 7 0
05 Aug. 2001
VAS
Vasco da Gama
7 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
69%
18%
13%
87 82 5 0