Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
CCP
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 2
CCP
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
CCP
3 - 1
RPA
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
CCP
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
3 - 1
AME
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
LQE
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
0 - 2
GUA
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
0 - 3
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |