Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CCP
3 - 0
RPA
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
CCP
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
LQE
0 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
OLI
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AME
1 - 3
GUA
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |