Cerro Porteño vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
CCP
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CER
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CCP
28%
28%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 0
CCP
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 3
OLI
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
RÑU
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 1
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 1
RÑU
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
RÑU
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |