Cerro Porteño vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
JUN
3 - 1
CCP
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LQE
2 - 3
CCP
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CCP
0 - 0
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
RÑU
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AME
0 - 2
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
LQE
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 1
GUA
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |