Cerro Largo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
3 - 1
CSY
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 1
PEÑ
29%
28%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
REN
1 - 3
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 0
MWA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CSC
2 - 0
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEP
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSY
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |