Cerro vs Trinidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
55.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JCP
2 - 1
CCD
57%
19%
25%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CCD
0 - 5
PBA
52%
21%
28%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUJ
2 - 1
CCD
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CCD
3 - 0
PIF
43%
22%
36%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PBC
4 - 1
CCD
63%
18%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Trinidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 4
CBX
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SIE
4 - 0
TRI
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TRI
3 - 1
VSE
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 3
TRI
41%
22%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRI
3 - 2
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |