J1 League Round 4

Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis

Cerezo Osaka Sagan Tosu
71 ELO 45
4.6% Tilt 1.1%
399º General ELO ranking 733º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
82.2%
Cerezo Osaka
13.3%
Draw
4.4%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.4%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cerezo Osaka
+7%
-3%
Sagan Tosu

ELO progression

Cerezo Osaka
Sagan Tosu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2017
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
78%
15%
7%
70 52 18 0
11 Mar. 2017
CON
Consadole Sapporo
1 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
46%
26%
28%
70 69 1 0
04 Mar. 2017
URA
Urawa Reds
3 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
23%
26%
51%
70 54 16 0
25 Feb. 2017
CER
Cerezo Osaka
0 - 0
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
83%
13%
5%
69 42 27 +1
04 Dec. 2016
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 0
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
59%
23%
18%
67 63 4 +2

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2017
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 2
Albirex Niigata
ALB
63%
21%
16%
45 31 14 0
11 Mar. 2017
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
29%
25%
47%
43 48 5 +2
05 Mar. 2017
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
76%
15%
9%
42 51 9 +1
25 Feb. 2017
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 3
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
42%
26%
32%
42 42 0 0
12 Nov. 2016
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
37%
26%
38%
43 44 1 -1