Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
CER
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
FCY
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
JUB
2 - 2
CER
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
URA
1 - 1
CER
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
URA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
NAG
3 - 2
SAG
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 1
VEN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
OMI
1 - 1
SAG
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 1
FCY
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 3
OIT
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |