AFC Champions Grupo G. Jor. 2

Cerezo Osaka vs Guangzhou FC analysis

Cerezo Osaka Guangzhou FC
83 ELO 78
2.5% Tilt 9.6%
320º General ELO ranking 3482º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Cerezo Osaka
21.7%
Draw
21.5%
Guangzhou FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.5%
Win probability
Guangzhou FC
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cerezo Osaka
-2%
-5%
Guangzhou FC

ELO progression

Cerezo Osaka
Guangzhou FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2018
JEJ
Jeju United
0 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
36%
25%
40%
83 75 8 0
10 Feb. 2018
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
2 - 3
Cerezo Osaka
CER
49%
22%
29%
83 83 0 0
01 Jan. 2018
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
52%
24%
24%
83 82 1 0
23 Dec. 2017
VIS
Vissel Kobe
1 - 3
Cerezo Osaka
CER
37%
25%
38%
82 78 4 +1
02 Dec. 2017
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
6%
16%
78%
82 55 27 0

Matches

Guangzhou FC
Guangzhou FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2018
GUA
Guangzhou FC
1 - 1
Buriram United
BUR
78%
14%
8%
78 61 17 0
03 Feb. 2018
MID
Midtjylland
1 - 2
Guangzhou FC
GUA
58%
21%
21%
78 82 4 0
31 Jan. 2018
SLP
Slavia Praha
5 - 1
Guangzhou FC
GUA
55%
22%
23%
78 83 5 0
28 Jan. 2018
ZEN
Zenit
4 - 1
Guangzhou FC
GUA
64%
20%
17%
78 85 7 0
25 Jan. 2018
GUA
Guangzhou FC
0 - 0
Kobenhavn
FCK
49%
24%
27%
78 82 4 0
X