Céres vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2008 |
ANG
4 - 1
CER
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
CER
0 - 5
BAN
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
SEC
3 - 1
CER
66%
19%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CER
0 - 0
MIG
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
IFC
0 - 0
CER
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 2
ANG
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 0
SEC
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MIG
0 - 3
NOV
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
IFC
3 - 2
NOV
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |