Belgian Pro League Normal Season Round 8

Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis

Cercle Brugge Union Saint-Gilloise
80 ELO 88
-3.5% Tilt 10.5%
147º General ELO ranking 132º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.3%
Cercle Brugge
23%
Draw
54.7%
Union Saint-Gilloise

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
Cercle Brugge
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.7%
Win probability
Union Saint-Gilloise
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cercle Brugge
-4%
+20%
Union Saint-Gilloise

Points and table prediction

Cercle Brugge
Their league position
Union Saint-Gilloise
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
14º
70
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Saint-Gilloise
70
70
100%
Anderlecht
63
63
100%
Antwerp
52
52
100%
Club Brugge
51
51
100%
Genk
47
47
100%
KAA Gent
47
47
0%
Cercle Brugge
47
47
0%
KV Mechelen
45
45
100%
Sint-Truidense VV
40
40
100%
Standard de Liège
10º
34
34
10º
100%
KVC Westerlo
11º
30
30
11º
100%
OH Leuven
12º
29
29
12º
0%
Charleroi
13º
29
29
13º
0%
KAS Eupen
14º
24
24
14º
100%
KV Kortrijk
15º
24
24
15º
100%
RWDM Brussels
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cercle Brugge
Union Saint-Gilloise
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Next round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cercle Brugge
Union Saint-Gilloise
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
RWD
RWDM Brussels
2 - 1
Cercle Brugge
CER
39%
25%
36%
80 77 3 0
02 Sep. 2023
CER
Cercle Brugge
2 - 1
KVC Westerlo
KVC
43%
25%
32%
80 79 1 0
27 Aug. 2023
STR
Sint-Truidense VV
0 - 2
Cercle Brugge
CER
29%
26%
45%
79 76 3 +1
19 Aug. 2023
SDL
Standard de Liège
0 - 1
Cercle Brugge
CER
31%
26%
43%
78 76 2 +1
13 Aug. 2023
CER
Cercle Brugge
0 - 1
Genk
GNK
26%
23%
51%
79 85 6 -1

Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
1 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
64%
20%
16%
87 81 6 0
16 Sep. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
0 - 2
Genk
GNK
50%
23%
27%
87 85 2 0
03 Sep. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 2
Antwerp
ANT
53%
24%
23%
87 86 1 0
31 Aug. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
23%
23%
55%
87 82 5 0
24 Aug. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
58%
21%
21%
87 82 5 0